Business
Gulf oil exports recover to 2025 levels, Goldman Sachs says
September 30, 2026 at 08:36 AM · Updated 16d ago
Coverage
4 reports · 3 in Arabic, 1 in English · over 6 hours
Goldman Sachs said Gulf oil exports recovered to 23.3 million barrels per day last week, in line with the 2025 average.
- Crude oil flows accounted for about 90 percent of the September recovery, reaching 19 million barrels per day, or 108 percent of the 2025 average.
- The bank said refined product and liquefied petroleum gas exports grew, but diesel, gasoline and jet fuel exports remain at 50 percent of their 2025 average.
- Goldman Sachs forecast Brent crude to fall to $85 per barrel by year-end and $80 in 2027.
- The recovery was driven by increased shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, including ship-to-ship transfers.
- Goldman Sachs warned that renewed escalation could damage energy infrastructure and push prices significantly higher.
- Brent is heading toward a monthly gain of about 14 percent in September, the largest since July 2025.
- Kpler data showed Middle East crude exports recovered to just under 80 percent of their pre-war level, with some ships crossing with tracking systems off.


